Technical author leading resistance to background checks

Ned Bedinger doc at edwordsmith.com
Thu Sep 6 15:36:17 MDT 2007


Lauren wrote:

> The bottom line is, when something bad happens, measures should be taken to
> prevent it from happening again, regardless of 'past' probability.  Waiting
> for a trend is irresponsible.


An interesting book I'm reading (The Black Swan) claims that the things 
that we don't anticipate, and so are not prepared for, are the ones that 
have really far reaching effects when they happen. IOW, using the normal 
curve (to guide preparedness toward the things most likely to happen) is 
folly.  More resources need to be directed into the science of 
understanding the unforeseeable!

I'd like to be a fly on the wall when the statisticians and the 
scientists reach the compromise of hiring a fall gu... I mean, tech 
writer, to document the new strategy for preparedness.


Ned Bedinger
doc at edwordsmith.com


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